Looking back from the vantage point of January 2026, few events in recent financial history have been as surreal or as transformative as the meme stock "second coming" of May 2024. What began with a single, cryptic social media post from Keith Gill—better known as "Roaring Kitty"—ignited a
The dawn of 2026 has brought a seismic shift to the prediction market landscape, one that is blurring the lines between the regulated boardrooms of Washington D.C. and the permissionless protocols of decentralized finance. As of January 23, 2026, the focus of the trading world has shifted from specific election outcomes to the very infrastructure [...]
As we move into early 2026, the global information landscape has undergone a radical transformation. No longer are political analysts and corporate strategists solely reliant on slow-moving surveys or expert panels to gauge the future. Instead, they are turning to the real-time, high-stakes data of prediction markets. These platforms, once viewed as niche betting hubs, [...]
In the early hours of January 3, 2026, the world woke to the shocking news that Nicolás Maduro had been captured by U.S. Special Operations forces in a daring raid dubbed "Operation Absolute Resolve." But while mainstream news outlets like The New York Times (NYSE: NYT) and News Corp (NASDAQ: NWSA) were scrambling to confirm [...]
The landscape of global finance is undergoing a structural transformation as the boundaries between speculative betting and institutional trading continue to blur. As of January 2026, the entry of Wall Street heavyweights Susquehanna International Group (SIG) and DRW into the prediction market space has signaled the end of the "retail-only" era. These firms are not [...]
As the first month of 2026 draws to a close, the prediction market industry is no longer a niche corner of the internet; it has evolved into a foundational pillar of global finance. On Manifold Markets, a high-stakes meta-contract titled "Top 1 Prediction Market by Volume in 2026" has become the definitive barometer for the [...]
As the 2026 midterm election cycle enters its first high-stakes primary season this January, the prediction market landscape looks radically different than it did during the 2024 presidential frenzy. While the crypto-fueled giants like Polymarket continue to draw billions in volume from international speculators, a quieter, more academic battle is being waged on PredictIt. Despite [...]
The landscape of global finance has shifted. As of January 23, 2026, the once-niche sector of prediction markets has officially entered its "Decacorn Era." With Kalshi recently commanding an $11 billion valuation and Polymarket following closely at $9 billion, event-based trading is no longer a curiosity for political junkies and crypto enthusiasts—it is a cornerstone [...]
On January 20, 2026, the legal landscape for prediction markets shifted dramatically when a Massachusetts court delivered a stinging blow to Kalshi, the leading federally regulated exchange. Suffolk County Superior Court Judge Christopher Barry-Smith granted a preliminary injunction requiring the platform to immediately cease offering its popular sports-related "event contracts" to Massachusetts residents without first [...]
The sudden $400,000 profit on a Venezuelan regime-change contract has done more than just mint a new crypto-millionaire; it has ignited a firestorm on Capitol Hill. As of January 23, 2026, the prediction market industry is facing its most significant regulatory reckoning to date with the introduction of the "Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets [...]
On January 12, 2026, the global financial landscape reached a watershed moment that many analysts are calling the "death of the pundit and the birth of the market." Total daily trading volume across prediction platforms skyrocketed to a record-breaking $701.7 million, shattering the previous day's record and signaling a fundamental shift in how the world [...]
In a transformative move that blurs the lines between decentralized finance and Wall Street, Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN) has officially completed the rollout of its new "Everything Exchange" ecosystem. As of January 2026, the platform now offers commission-free U.S.-listed stock trading and fully integrated prediction markets to
As of January 22, 2026, the global financial landscape is undergoing a fundamental transformation. What was once a niche corner of the internet for political junkies and hobbyist forecasters has evolved into a powerhouse of the modern economy. Prediction markets—increasingly rebranded by Wall Street as "event trading"—are no longer just a curiosity; they are becoming [...]
As the Federal Reserve prepares for its first policy meeting of 2026 on January 28, a quiet revolution is taking place on the trading floors of Manhattan and Chicago. While traditional bond traders scramble to interpret yield curve shifts, a growing cohort of institutional and retail investors is turning to Kalshi to buy direct protection [...]
In the wake of the high-stakes 2024 election cycle, many analysts expected a "prediction market hangover"—a period of cooling interest and declining volumes as the political fever broke. Instead, as of January 22, 2026, the opposite has occurred. Prediction markets have evolved from election-centric novelties into high-velocity "truth engines" for every corner of culture and [...]
As we cross into 2026, the global information landscape has undergone a radical transformation. The era of relying solely on traditional polling—often criticized for its slow response times and methodological lag—is being eclipsed by the rise of prediction markets. Following their standout performance during the 2024 US Presidential Election, these platforms are no longer viewed [...]
The retail trading landscape has been fundamentally reshaped. As of January 22, 2026, Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) has officially transitioned from a stock-and-crypto powerhouse into the undisputed leader of the prediction market revolution. Following a record-breaking holiday season and a high-stakes NFL playoff run, the platform announced it has surpassed the staggering milestone of 11 [...]
NEW YORK — Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction platform, has officially begun its long-awaited homecoming. After years of operating in a regulatory exile that forced it to block American IP addresses, the platform is now aggressively onboarding thousands of users from its domestic waitlist. This strategic pivot follows a landmark regulatory shift under the [...]
On January 21, 2026, Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW) reported record-breaking financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a definitive conclusion to its multi-year integration of TD Ameritrade and signaling a shift toward aggressive innovation. The firm posted a GAAP net income of $2.5 billion, or $1.33
As the legal landscape for prediction markets enters its most volatile phase yet, a "Shadow Market" on the forecasting platform Manifold Markets has become the ultimate barometer for the industry's survival. Traders are currently placing an overwhelming 81% probability on a scenario where federal preemption—the legal doctrine that federal law overrides state law—will shield prediction [...]
